💰YEAR TO DATE: +24.6U*
🏈 NFL 11-12 • CFB 3-6🏀 NBA 9-8 • CBB 7-4⚾ MLB 5-3 🏒 NFL 1-1🚨 LIVE 6-6 | PROPS 0-1 | MIDDLES: 3
11 / 12 / 19 - 2.5 UNITS
Parlay: 🏈 Ohio ML 🏀 Lipscomb -2 / Chattanooga ML - 0.9U (+715) Knicks +6.5 - 1.6U (-110)
🏈 / 🏀 ANALYSIS: (Realize trying to get this shit back with parlays but I'm working my way towards when I really like a # to go big; just mainly going off Twitter tips right now!) Although, the Knicks play... that one's on me. I just think they come out for the coach now even if they're not gonna do it longterm cuz it likely won't matter.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. The bottom is getting closer? Haha we shall see!
11 / 11 / 19 - 2.5 UNITS
Yale ML - 2.5U (+)
🏈 ANALYSIS: CBB on a tip!––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Goddam they took the Dons to O.T. but couldn't come home with the W. Really bad run lately. Was up around +40 units and now hovering south of 25 :(
11 / 10 / 19 - 1.9 UNITS
6-pt Teaser: Saints -8 / Dolphins +17 / Packers +1.5 / Bills +9 / Chiefs 0 / Bears -0.5 - 1.6U (+536) ML Parlay: Bills / Jets / Cardinals - 0.3U (+1510)
🏈 ANALYSIS: Just feeling a little stuck lately with the sports betting and what-not, so just some fliers for me this Week 10.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Predictable L's! Next week, baby...
11 / 9 / 19 - 7.5 UNITS
Liberty-BYU ⬆58.5 - 5U (-110) Penn State -12.5 - 1U (+160)
- Army -34.5 - 1U (-110)
Parlay: Army -34.5 / Penn St -12.5 / Arkansas ML / TCU ML / Utah St ML - 0.5U (+5116)
🏈 ANALYSIS: First play is a biggie: I like the overtime in the ReligiBowl; Liberty's D is almost as atrocious as their school's political ties. Then, my weekly tradition of betting against UMass continues (number is huge today, but I gotta do it). And I like Penn State to beat the Gophers big-time so trying my luck with a bigger spread/greater odds. Good luck!
P.S. Very happy Penn State lost, I guess I was hedging so to speak with that play. Give the Gophers credit, though, they played great. The Liberty-BYU game was a head-scratcher. I loved that over.
11 / 8 / 19 - 0.6 UNITS
Parlay: 🏀 Xavier -19 / Duke -24 / UConn -16.5 / Knicks +11 🏈 Central Florida -17 / Washington -10 - 0.6U - (+4755)
🏈 / 🏀 ANALYSIS: On a bit of a cold streak, as I haven't had much time to devote to research etc. Flier for tonight.
P.S. 4 outta 6 on the parlay. UCF lost outright (whoops) and Xavier missed the over by a single point.
11 / 7 / 19 - 2.5 UNITS
🚨Chargers ML - 2.5U (+120)
🏈 ANALYSIS: Of course I bet this about a minute before the Rivers pick-6 so missed top odds before seeing them take lead, and then relinquish it before the half. Whatchagonnado?
P.S. Pure Chargers
11 / 5 / 19 - 4.7 UNITS
4-pt Teaser: North Dakota St-Kansas St ⬆130 / CSU Fullerton +19.5 / Georgia Southern +17.5 - 2U (+256) Avalanche ML - 1U (+120)
- St. Joe's ML - 1.2U (+165)
- Kenctucky ML - 0.5U (+128)
🏀 ANALYSIS: Let's wash the stink out of last night's performance with some incredibly random NCAAB plays! (and one random hockey ML play)
P.S. Was just a very stupid ND St-Kansas St over away from having a nice night :(
11 / 4 / 19 - 4.3 UNITS
Prop: Barkley to score the first TD - 1U (+525) † Parlay: Giants +7.5 + ⬆48.5 - 0.5U (+250) Sixers -1.5 - 2.8U (-110)
🏈 / 🏀 ANALYSIS: Monday Monday... and a kinda lame MNF. Home teams are an astonishing perfect 12-0 ATS thus far this Week 9. Seems too good to be true for the Giants to follow suit but I'll ride the points and the over (tweaked in my favor via Sugar House) with a tiny taste ... Larger bet for me on basketball: let's see if the Embiid-less Sixers can keep it going against the over-achieving Suns in Phoenix. I like the over-adjusted small # which has actually moved against this play as of 5PM EST, but I still like it. Good luck.
† DraftKings promotion: Bet refunded if player scores "any time"––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
11 / 3 / 19 - 7.4 UNITS
Parlay: Jaguars ML / Bills -9 / Raiders -2.5 / Packers -3.5 / Ravens ML - (+3308) † Jaguars -3 - 1U (+143) 7-pt Teaser: Jaguars +8 / Colts + 6 / Jets +3.5 / Panthers +3.5 - 2.7U (+210)
- 🚨LIVE ADD Seahawks 2H -7.5 - 2.5U (-108)
🚨LIVE ADD Parlay: Seahawks ML / Raiders ML / Packers ML - 1.2U (+799) %
- Parlay: Ravens ML + ⬆44 - 1U (+350)
🏈 ANALYSIS: I don't really love the card that much this weekend, which probably means I should go heavy since I LOVED it in Week 8 and my Top 5 plays went 2-3. I might add some larger one-off plays before kickoff so do check back now, ya hear? But suffice to say I like all the plays in that first parlay enough to bet them on my own, just going to see how my London bet(s) goes first. Still looking at the total in that and potentially some props/side bets ...
† Free $10 bet via DraftKings promotion––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. I am gonna try to do a better job posting this in a more timely fashion. The operative word there being "try." (wink wink) Big eff you to the Jags who killed all my early action (it's almost as if tying all my bets to the 9:30AM London game was a bad idea LoL). But I made it back with a *chef's kiss* easy money live play on the second half Bucs-Seahawks # and a very rewarding ML+⬆ parlay on SNF. Taking me over 40+ UNITS for the first time this season.
11 / 2 / 19 - 0 UNITS
Parlay: Purdue ML / Liberty -24 / Florida ML / Boise St-San Jose St ⬆59.5 - (+2388) %
🏈 ANALYSIS: Using my Halloween all-bonus baby free bet ($15, above) on a 4-teamer parlay in the college ball that would pay back over $350. Good luck. (I'm notoriously rotten picking NCAAF games so this is just a flier based mostly on some random picks I saw people doing on Twitter. Will post some NFL plays tonight or tomorrow morning, but I'm on Jacksonville in the early London game F.Y.I.!)––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. I have lawn work to do tomorrow.
10 / 31 / 19 - 2.4 UNITS
- Cardinals +10 - 2.4U (+103)
🏈 ANALYSIS: Only bet this cause there was a "Trick or Treat" promotion at DK: $5 toward a free bet for every TD and Turnover your team has. Worked out for me.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. I forgot to post this live!!
10 / 30 / 19 - 3.1 UNITS
- Parlay: Nationals ML / ⬆7.5 - 1U (+325)
⚾ ANALYSIS: Feels like I gotta bet G7 of the WS. So let's go out with a bang. Was surprised their were better odds on the Over then the Under honestly. I think we're gonna get a bunch of runs late in this one.
Knicks +9.5 - 2.1U (-106)
🏀 ANALYSIS: A pick I will surely regret (fingers crossed). Hoping my Knicks stay plucky and not butty.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. The Knicks of course Knicks'd up (as predicted), in really true Knicksian fashion: staying within range of the cover for 47 out of 48 minutes before imploding in the final moments. But the baseball bet... damn, that did not look like a good play for damn near 7 innings AT ALL. But that's baseball for you. It's both why you do and why you never bet it. Congrats, Nats!
10 / 29 / 19 - 2.2 UNITS
- Nationals ML - 1U (+155)
Parlay: Maple Leafs ML / Ducks ML / Nationals ML / Grizzlies +11.5 / Mavericks ML / Hawks-Heat ⬆224.5 - 0.2U (+8807) % 🚨LIVE ADD Astros +2.5 - 0.6U (+155)
⚾ ANALYSIS: Light night for me. Just a taste here... and there.
Hawks +8.5 - 1U (-110)
🏀 ANALYSIS: Hawks are on a back-to-back, starting a home-and-home @ Miami. The Heat get Butler in his first game for the team but I'll take the over-achieving ATL squad.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Trae Young getting hurt surely put a damper on the evening's festivities... and my wallet (womp womp). Another day, another unnecessary hedge in the live betting department. Unless I have major units on the line, I gotta cool it with it that. But as I wrote, the temptation is just too much for me; I'm a live betting, middles-seeking addict!
10 / 28 / 19 - 3.3 UNITS
Dolphins +7.5 - 1.8U (+210) Davante Parker 1st TD - $20 †
- 🚨LIVE ADD Steelers -2 - 1U (+210)
🏈 ANALYSIS: A little higher value MNF play for double the cash. I didn't get this line at all; felt like a high single-digits number in my book so I'll take my chances with the 7.5
† DraftKings promotion (would have refunded if he scored a TD any time)
- Warriors ML - 1.2U (+120)
🚨LIVE ADD Pelicans +6.5 (+165)
🏀 ANALYSIS: Two winless teams. I'll take the one that was just a dynasty a couple months ago.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. I bungled the Pelicans live bet hedge: there was a number there that could have middled (probably early 3rd) and I didn't get it; oh well! The damn Dolphins couldn't cover the 7.5 when that looked golden for most of the game, but I got the more-than-enough -2 number to connect at top value. A mixed bag night, for sure. Sometimes, I should just lay off the hedge/trying to middle, like with the Warriors-Pelicans game.
10 / 27 / 19 - 15.8 UNITS
7-pt Teaser: Buccaneers +9.5 / Eagles +8.5 / Giants +13.5 / Chargers +11 / Rams -6 / Colts +1.5 / Panthers +12.5 / Cardinals +17 - 1.7U (+813) † ML Parlay: Giants / Cardinals / Eagles / Panthers / Buccaneers / Chargers - 0.6U (+61464) †
- 6-pt Teaser: Eagles-Bills ⬇46.5 / Giants-Lions ⬆43.5 - 2.5U (+112)
Panthers +4.5 - 5U (-110) Panthers ML - 1U (+180) Cardinals +9.5 - 1U (+140)
- 🚨LIVE ADD Eagles-Bills ⬆41.5 - 1U (+210)
🏈 ANALYSIS: A couple low-level fliers + bigger money on an early game totals teaser, and my play of the week: Panthers (+4.5) coming off a bye @ undefeated San Francisco. One unit on Cards +9.5 where the line originally was, and where I think it should still be.† Not counting for W-L statistical purposes
- Panthers -1 - 1U (+165)
🏒 ANALYSIS: Working off a tip ;) as I don't know hockey from my elbow.
Nationals ML - 1U (+130)
⚾ ANALYSIS: Back on the Nats! (Made this bet right before Scherzer news broke FML!)
- Grizzlies +5 - 1U (+109)
🏀 ANALYSIS: I'll take fliers on winless teams at home early in the season getting points. Sure why not.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Whiffed hardcore on my big Panthers play. Oh well. Got a little back on the FLORIDA Panthers as well as an NBA underdog that hit on the ML as well. And middling the over-unders tease with some really nice odds was a great live add to help recoup lost Carolina investments.
10 / 24 / 19 - 2.3 UNITS
4-pt Teaser: Bucks +5.5 Warriors +5.5 - 2.3U (+140)
- Parlay (5): Pistons -1 (-109) / Bucks ML (+104) / Warriors ML (+102) / Sharks ML (+115) / Islanders ML (-118) - $8 (+3046) †
- 🚨LIVE ADD Clippers -4.5 - 1U (-108)
🏀 ANALYSIS: I understand that teasers and parlays are, generally, a sucker's game, and no legitimate bettor would be caught dead promoting them on their site as a featured play for the day. But to that say... wah wah, wah wah wah I'm a do what I'm gonna do. Thanks for reading my website. Might add some 🏈 live but I don't like the # at 17 at all.
† Free bet via yesterday's DraftKings promotion (Total Nationals strikeouts = 8)––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Screwed up the hedge on the bball tease. Had Clip -4.5 in my pocket at like +135 but got greedy and decided to wait to see how the 1st quarter shook out. Was mostly all Clippers. Felt lucky pulling the number (-4.5) at -108 tbh, which at least gives me a puncher's chase to middle. Turning in at 11:30 EST (zzz). It also sucks that the damn Pistons didn't cover the first leg of that 5-team parlay. My gut said Hawks originally in that game. Bucks + the two hockey games hit. Whatchagonnado. P.S.S. So it's the next morning now. Thankfully, my hedge returned something, but honestly, looking back at it, I should have gone heavier on L.A. Just from the 1st quarter eye test, it looked like it was probably going to be a rough night for the G.S.W.
As for a 🏈 update, I did almost live-bet the Vikings -13.5 at + odds last night but good thing I didn't. Avoided disaster in a game I barely watched. Might do a brief NFL Week 8 picks thing as this is the first NFL weekend of this site's existence. Stay tuned
10 / 23 / 19 - 6.5 UNITS
Sixers -2 1Q - 2U (-107)
- Thunder +9 - $30 (-110) †
- Ben Simmons = 1 made 3pt FG - $25 (+1000) ††
- 🚨LIVE ADD Jazz -4.5 - 1U (+160)
🏀 ANALYSIS: Hoping for a quick start for Philly as has been their M.O. in recent seasons. The player prop on Simmons is a shot in the dark, I realize, but was too funny to pass up. Using a free bet on the line I like the most: OKC getting 9. Feels like too many points for a team that will need to gel early.
† Free bet via yesterday's DraftKings promotion (Kawhi 30 points = $30)†† SugarHouse "promotion"
- Nationals ML - 2U (+163) †††
🚨LIVE ADD Astros +3.5 - 1U (+114)
⚾ ANALYSIS: Let's run it back with Washington!
††† Bet came with a promotion for $1 towards free bet for every National strikeout recorded––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Big strikeout on the Sixers 1st quarter bet; shoulda just bet them straight-up for the game as they covered pretty easily in the end. But I did get a nice middle again in that OKC @ Utah matchup (Conley made me sweat!).
They'll be no more value on the Nats going forward, but that's alright; glad they're sticking it to Houston. Might play live bets only in the remaining World Series games. Pulled trigger on the +3.5 hedge a little too early, but who knew Washington was going to explode like that?
10 / 22 / 19 - 3.25 UNITS
Raptors ML / ⇩230.5 Parlay - 1U (+165)
- Clippers ML - 1.5U (+135)
- Kawhi Leonard first FG - $25 (+400) †
🏀 ANALYSIS: Just a little taste on opening night NBA action (Zion-less Pelicans in Toronto and Lakers/Clippers latenight).
† part of a DraftKings promotion wherein I get $1 toward a free bet for every point K.W. scores.
- Nationals ML - 0.5U (+170)
- 🚨LIVE ADD Astros +2 - 0.25U (+145)
⚾ ANALYSIS: I wasn't going to touch anything in this W.S. but gimme the Nats ML tonight as an eff you bet to this nonsense and some general anti-Astros sentiment ;)––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Successful night, there's no reason the Clip Show should be dogs to anyone. Middled the baseball! Raptors/Pelicans went way over and was over even before OT, but the totals are gonna be wonky this week as we wait to see about trends. Lakers/Clippers stayed under.
Got top odds on Astros +2 and they came back but still lost by 1, a perfect scenario.
10 / 21 / 19 - 5.5 UNITS
Pats ⇩26.5 - 2.5U (-106) Jets +7.5 - 2.5U (+120) 🚨LIVE ADD Jets ML - 0.5U (+1200)
🏈 ANALYSIS: Two MNF plays. I think this game has the potential to be closer than current spread (+10, juice on Pats' side) so I'll take my chances with better odds on the tighter number. Minus special teams and defensive TDs, Pats only put up 21 against a bad Giants D last week at home, so I think it's possible here for the relatively low team total under to hit even if they stifle Darnold and the Jets and cover the 10. Tempted to put a taste on the home underdog ML here, might live bet this if Jets get down 3 or 7 for top odds; check Twitter. Good luck.––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
P.S. Well, not a great start to this history of this lil website, but that be a testament to the fact that this shiz ain't easy! The Jets made smarter men than me look dumb tonight.